Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 4.352504 5.123727 5.952208 6.903980 7.962712 9.099900 10.409247
2025-11-16 3.104800 4.105934 5.269367 6.703034 8.403476 10.337636 12.684940
2025-11-23 2.280248 3.381312 4.760508 6.571489 8.841958 11.550251 14.978467
2025-11-30 1.851706 3.046487 4.645238 6.859666 9.763235 13.357813 18.055820
2025-12-07 1.437814 2.637981 4.355693 6.862223 10.290643 14.681891 20.587710
2025-12-14 1.038825 2.156533 3.878756 6.533250 10.322987 15.342684 22.282622
2025-12-21 0.757617 1.787830 3.497023 6.273192 10.396922 16.026720 24.002096
2025-12-28 0.651282 1.693894 3.520248 6.598796 11.298109 17.845720 27.272254
2026-01-04 0.583294 1.654596 3.621958 7.043617 12.385698 19.953226 30.990423
2026-01-11 0.515827 1.598882 3.683667 7.421308 13.383218 21.961198 34.623938
2026-01-18 0.419945 1.455032 3.565270 7.487157 13.900780 23.294557 37.352409
2026-01-25 0.316804 1.259766 3.318545 7.306819 14.014615 24.035143 39.257102
2026-02-01 0.232849 1.082894 3.082658 7.128776 14.131942 24.803386 41.256869
2026-02-08 0.173339 0.946927 2.905136 7.033235 14.369690 25.751857 43.536330
2026-02-15 0.128059 0.831066 2.748503 6.956862 14.627959 26.733127 45.883971
2026-02-22 0.111471 0.809501 2.804380 7.291180 15.594386 28.828798 49.918873
2026-03-01 0.084622 0.730398 2.707339 7.312451 16.018047 30.088737 52.738166
2026-03-08 0.053003 0.599459 2.449626 6.977526 15.791658 30.309740 53.997006
2026-03-15 0.032518 0.496628 2.238012 6.709779 15.660164 30.665355 55.454623
2026-03-22 0.028262 0.491953 2.306226 7.054675 16.662085 32.878423 59.796286
2026-03-29 0.026417 0.504045 2.426721 7.523297 17.909164 35.518056 64.838957
2026-04-05 0.023555 0.505247 2.513590 7.920488 19.034668 37.980283 69.645723
2026-04-12 0.017075 0.464374 2.459520 7.990078 19.543332 39.434639 72.911237